One of the real estate axioms that lenders, buyers, and sellers have believed for years is that falling interest rates spur home purchases. Lately, however, that premise is being tested by the increasing distance between home prices and incomes.

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Financial markets and real estate are joined at the hip: When one sneezes, the other catches a cold. So it is with great perplexity that we note a rare conflict of commonly accepted real estate principles as the declining cost of a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fails to produce the usual boost in home sales.

Until last year, no one bought more U.S. real estate than the Chinese. And that was true for the years 2016 and 2015, too. We loved them for it, too: They often paid more than the asking price and over two-thirds paid in cash. That was then, this is now: Chinese real estate investment in the U.S. has...